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深圳市生活垃圾处理社会总成本的核算和预测 被引量:2

Business Accounting and Prediction of the Total Cost of Domestic Garbage Treatment in Shenzhen
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摘要 研究了深圳市生活垃圾处理的成本核算问题.将垃圾处理的经济成本核算分解为收运、分类、填埋、焚烧和生物处理5个部分,同时还考虑了不同处理方案引起的水污染和大气污染的环境成本.经成本核算得到垃圾分类、生物处理和垃圾焚烧是3种较优的处理方案.以常住人口、生产总值和过夜游客总量作为解释变量,通过统计分析,发现深圳市生活垃圾清运量在未来10年内将大幅增长. In this paper,the cost accounting of domestic garbage treatment in Shenzhen is studied.The economic cost accounting of garbage treatment is decomposed into 5 parts:transportation,classification,landfill,incineration and biological treatment.At the same time,the environmental costs of water pollution and air pollution caused by different treatment schemes are also considered.According to cost accounting,garbage classification,biological treatment and waste incineration are three kinds of better treatment plans.Taking resident population,gross domestic product and stay overnight tourists as explanatory variables,with statistical analysis,it reveals that domestic garbage in Shenzhen would increase greatly in the next ten years.
作者 高健聪 蒋沁芝 聂正同 蔡志杰 曹沅 GAO Jiancong1 ,JIANG Qinzhi2 ,NIE Zhengtong1 ,CAI Zhijie2,3,4 ,CAO Yuan2,3,4 (1. School of Data Scienee,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433 ,China; 2. School of Mathematical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China 3. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Contemporary Applied Mathematics, Shanghai 200433, China ; 4. Key Laboratory of Nonlinear Mathematical Models and Methods of Ministry of Education,Shanghai 200433 ,China)
出处 《数学建模及其应用》 2018年第2期59-68,共10页 Mathematical Modeling and Its Applications
关键词 垃圾处理 成本核算 微分方程 二次移动平均法 garbage disposal cost accounting differential equation double moving average
作者简介 曹沅(1958-),男,正高级讲师,主要研究方向是计算机辅助几何设计.;蒋沁芝(1997-),女,2014级本科生.;聂正同(1998-),男,2015级本科生.;通讯作者:蔡志杰(1968-),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,应用数学专业,主要研究方向是工业应用数学、应用偏微分方程.E-mail:zhijiecai@163.com
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